Current community forecast
Yes 61.9%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJul 31, 26, 12:53 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.
- Should he be re-elected, the investigation will resume.
- Depending on the outcome of the investigation he may then face a second byelection.
- Resolves YES if Nigel Farage is a candidate in a second Clacton byelection between 13th August and 31st December 2026.
- Resolves NO if there is no second byelection, or if one does take place but Farage is not officially listed as a candidate.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? resolve?
- Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.