Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 8:14 AM UTCFeb 28, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
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KalshiRules
Reform have been exposed accepting foreign donations by an undercover investigation provided to Channel 4.
- This is while a Parliamentary investigation is ongoing into a £5 million donate Farage received.
- This market asks: does Farage leave his post before 1st March 2027? Resolves YES if there is a statement from either Farage himself or from Reform UK that he will not be holding the post of leader.
- He does not have to leave Reform UK or resign as an MP for a YES resolution to be triggered, this is solely about his position as leader of the political party.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027? resolve?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027? is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027.
- How is Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Reform have been exposed accepting foreign donations by an undercover investigation provided to Channel 4.