Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingDec 4, 25, 1:23 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myanmar_civil_war_(2021–present)
- This market resolves YES if Myanmar's military junta (the State Administration Council/SAC led by Senior General Min Aung Hlaing) is overthrown or ceases to hold effective control of the country before January 1, 2030.
- Overthrow includes scenarios where the junta is forced from power through military defeat, internal collapse, or negotiated transition.
- The junta must lose control of the capital (Naypyidaw) and be unable to exercise governmental authority over any of Myanmar's major population centers.
- Resolution will be determined by credible international news sources and statements from the National Unity Government or successor authorities.
- This market resolves NO if the junta remains in power through January 1, 2030.