Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffElectionMiddle East2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68%
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21
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 14, 23, 1:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketRules
This will be closed, yes, if Netanyahu is no longer prime minister before or within the three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week.
- It will be closed No, if three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week, Netanyahu is still the Prime Minister, or if he remains Prime Minister after the next Israeli parliamentary election.
- The next election is scheduled for 27 October 2026.
