Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffElectionMiddle East3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.7%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleOct 14, 23, 1:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
This will be closed, yes, if Netanyahu is no longer prime minister before or within the three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week.
- It will be closed No, if three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week, Netanyahu is still the Prime Minister, or if he remains Prime Minister after the next Israeli parliamentary election.
- The next election is scheduled for 27 October 2026.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War resolve?
- Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will be closed, yes, if Netanyahu is no longer prime minister before or within the three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week.