Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.2%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 8, 26, 8:39 PM UTCNov 4, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?
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Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWhat countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio officially announces a candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Rubio, FEC filings, or major news reporting from established outlets confirming his candidacy.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Marco Rubio run for President??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Marco Rubio run for President? resolve?
- Will Marco Rubio run for President? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2028.
- How is Will Marco Rubio run for President? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio officially announces a candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election.