Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 50.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 8, 26, 8:39 PM UTCNov 4, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump OR Marco Rubio visit Cuba before Trump’s presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExMarco Rubio visiting Taiwan before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio officially announces a candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Rubio, FEC filings, or major news reporting from established outlets confirming his candidacy.
