Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:19 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by September 30, 2026.
- YES if by September 30, 2026:
- MOC-21 captured or surrendered
- Bhamo Airport under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance in city
- KIA administering civilian affairs
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by September 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by September 30, 2026? resolve?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by September 30, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by September 30, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by September 30, 2026.