PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 51%-1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityComments
24
7d Change
-27.4 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 28, 26, 7:58 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered.
- Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
- Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 51% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by which date? resolve?
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by which date? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time.