PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 32%-3.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.4K
Liquidity
$69.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 7.0%
Spread
133.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3132%
Large trades
$5.1k62.4%POLYMARKETWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 — Notetrose15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 — Notetrose15d ago$4.2k48.3%POLYMARKETWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 — Yesdissidentdad22d ago
POLYMARKETWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 — Yesdissidentdad22d ago$1.0k53.7%POLYMARKETNo0x854e…b67525d ago
POLYMARKETNo0x854e…b67525d agoVolume trend
$10.4kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue.
- However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.