Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by which date?
3.0 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
March 31 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
December 31 6%Leader of 8 outcomes
December 31 6%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$166.8
Liquidity
$18K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$43.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
March 31Spread
—
Comments
26
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 8, 26, 2:23 AM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 31Lost
June 15Lost
June 30Lost
October 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · March 31
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PolymarketWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Egypt withdraw recognition of Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue.
- However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.