Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitics Middle East Europe Election US Politics19d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 55.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 minutes ago

Mar 5, 26, 3:08 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolution Criteria

Katharina Reiche has been serving as Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy since May 2025.
This market resolves YES if she ceases to hold this ministerial position before the next regular federal election, which will be held before 26 March 2029.
This includes:
resignation or dismissal
switching to another ministry (not restructuring/add-on, but a full role switch)

Report a data issue with this market

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitics Middle East Europe Election US Politics19d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 55.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 minutes ago

Mar 5, 26, 3:08 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

Resolution Criteria

Katharina Reiche has been serving as Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy since May 2025.
This market resolves YES if she ceases to hold this ministerial position before the next regular federal election, which will be held before 26 March 2029.
This includes:
resignation or dismissal
switching to another ministry (not restructuring/add-on, but a full role switch)

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election??: Manifold Markets prices No at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election? resolve?: Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election? is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
How is Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

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