Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93%
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26
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 27, 23, 7:27 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Inspired by this.
- Resolves yes if Israel returns Lebanon/Hezbollah to a state in which they are primarily using stone age technology before 2028.
- Definition for stone age technology - Technology that people would have commonly had during the 8000 and 2000 BC period.
- Phones, electronics, up-to-date farming equipment and many modern metals and their alloys are not stone age tech.
- You can go here to learn more about the stone age: https://www.history.com/topics/pre-history/stone-age
- Resolves no if Israel doesn't achieve this by 2028.
