Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.6%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleJun 22, 25, 5:30 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
There is speculation that the strikes on Iran will destabilize it and lead to a civil war.
- Resolves yes if before 2028 there is a wikipedia page describing an Iranian civil war, no otherwise