Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 2:07 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market goes one step further and asks whether any of the investigations or criminal proceedings involving Petro ultimately result in a criminal conviction.
- The market is not limited to allegations contained in Abelardo de la Espriella's “White Paper.” Any criminal case involving Gustavo Petro may qualify.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent court issues a criminal conviction against Gustavo Petro before January 1, 2028.
- NO: If no criminal conviction is issued against him by that date.
- Being investigated, charged, indicted, arrested, or standing trial does not qualify.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028? resolve?
- Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market goes one step further and asks whether any of the investigations or criminal proceedings involving Petro ultimately result in a criminal conviction.