Will former Colombian president Gustavo Petro be formally charged with a criminal offense before January 1, 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:03 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Gustavo Petro left office amid ongoing investigations, allegations, and legal proceedings concerning events and decisions during his administration.
- The release of Abelardo de la Espriella's “White Paper,” which reportedly documents alleged irregularities during the Petro administration and refers matters to Colombian investigative and oversight authorities, could lead to further investigations or legal action.
- This market asks whether those investigations, or any other criminal investigation involving Petro, will progress to the point where he is formally charged with a crime before the deadline.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent Colombian or foreign judicial/prosecutorial authority formally brings criminal charges against Gustavo Petro before January 1, 2027.
- NO: If no formal criminal charge is brought against him by that date.
