Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79.5% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? resolve?

Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.

How is Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If Biden Wins Presidency:

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POLYMARKET

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• Lula da Silva <4%+81.9pt100%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+-1.3pt0%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%-36.0pt0%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$10.1M

24h Vol

$3.6M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.2pt90.3%
• Republican Party+0.3pt9.9%

Total Vol

$71.4M

24h Vol

$1.8M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt7.9%

Total Vol

$22.9M

24h Vol

$1.6M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico64.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$42.3M

24h Vol

$1.3M

KALSHI

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• Democrats sweep-2.0pt63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

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• Benjamin Netanyahu-4.0pt25%
• Naftali Bennett-1.0pt13%

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