Will Donald Trump finally get sentenced to the Big House (or worse) after he leaves office in 2029?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionSportsCrime & JusticeEntertainmentGolfUS PoliticsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Mar 31, 26, 1:26 PM UTCAug 9, 56, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
After four years of presidential immunity vibes, will The Donald actually hear a judge say “You’re going away for a while” once he’s back to being a regular (extremely loud) citizen? This market is all about that post-presidency court drama .
- Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if, anytime after January 20, 2029: • A U.S. court formally sentences him to prison or jail time (any length - months, years, life… whatever the menu offers) OR • Sentences him to the death penalty.
- Resolves NO only if he passes away without ever getting such a sentence.
- Timeframe No rush - legal things move at the speed of a very slow golf cart.
- The market stays open until either he gets the sentence or he shuffles off this mortal coil.
