Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 88.1%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 20, 25, 2:10 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by checking official sources such as the White House website or news reports confirming Trump's status as sitting president on that date.
- The market resolves NO if Trump is not president on that date, including scenarios where he has resigned, been removed from office, or lost an election.
- If Trump dies in office, the market resolves NO.
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025, and is the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 88% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria