Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 85.9%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 7, 25, 2:32 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve YES if on January 1 2028 Donald Trump is the President of the USA.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $985.7K
- 24h Vol
- $777.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $689.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.2M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 86% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.
- How is Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve YES if on January 1 2028 Donald Trump is the President of the USA.