Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Donald Trump 79.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Donald Trump 79.4%Forecasters
70
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJul 17, 24, 4:41 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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KalshiRules
As of midnight US eastern time.
- Any person who ascends to the office of the presidency or the vice presidency will be added as an option.
- If this question does not have a well-defined answer pointing to a specific person -- if the office of the presidency does not exist or is vacant or is in substantial dispute -- then that would currently point to "Other", though I will break it out into its own option if it starts to seem likely.