Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 9, 26, 12:55 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party's nominee wins the 2028 United States presidential election.
- It resolves to NO if any other candidate (Republican, third-party, or independent) wins the election.
- The outcome will be determined by the official certification of the Electoral College votes by the U.S. Congress, typically scheduled for January 2029.
- In the event of a contingent election in the House of Representatives, the winner of that contingent election will determine the resolution.
- Reliable major news sources reporting the certified winner—such as the Associated Press or Reuters—will be used for verification.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will democrats take back the white house in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 67% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? resolve?
- Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria