Will Democrats lose the house in the 2026 midterm elections?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms15d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 12:58 AM UTCNov 16, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Democratic Party fails to secure a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Specifically, this means the Democratic Party wins 217 or fewer seats of the 435 voting seats up for election.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party successfully wins a majority in the House of Representatives.
- Specifically, this means the Democratic Party wins 218 or more seats.
- Details & Sources: