Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms8d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 81%
Forecasters
33
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 1:51 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Darline Graham (also known as Darline Graham Nordone) officially runs in the 2026 United States Senate election in South Carolina and wins the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to NO if any of the following occur:
- She does not officially file to run, or withdraws her candidacy before the elections.
- She runs but loses the special Republican primary scheduled for August 11, 2026.
- She runs but loses the general election on November 3, 2026.
