Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 82.8%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 1:51 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Darline Graham (also known as Darline Graham Nordone) officially runs in the 2026 United States Senate election in South Carolina and wins the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to NO if any of the following occur:
- She does not officially file to run, or withdraws her candidacy before the elections.
- She runs but loses the special Republican primary scheduled for August 11, 2026.
- She runs but loses the general election on November 3, 2026.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election? resolve?
- Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria