Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 5.5%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 11:06 AMJan 1, 50, 12:04 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Volume trend
$30Jul 132d of dataJul 14
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