Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 79.5%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 25, 5:29 PM UTCJan 1, 60, 5:28 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Did Jeffrey Epstein kill himself?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PolymarketDid Donald Trump have Jeffrey Epstein killed?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by which date?
PolymarketBy the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.
Manifold MarketsWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Russia was significantly involved in the death of Jeffrey Epstein.
- If there is no strong evidence before January 1st 2060, then this question resolves NO.
- If there is weak evidence, but no strong evidence, then this question resolve N/A. This question does not resolve before January 1st 2060.
Open markets
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.8M
- 24h Vol
- $549.5K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.8pt6%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.1pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein? resolve?
- Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2060.
- How is Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Russia was significantly involved in the death of Jeffrey Epstein.