By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.
PoliticsOne-OffCrime & JusticeSociety & CultureGeopolitics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77.8%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingDec 20, 25, 7:11 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2028, there is an official, public confirmation from a U.S. or foreign government intelligence agency (CIA, FBI, Mossad, FSB, etc.) that Jeffrey Epstein was formally an intelligence asset or operative.
- Confirmation must come through:
- Declassified government documents explicitly stating asset status
- Official testimony from current or former intelligence officials under oath
- Court filings or legal proceedings that establish intelligence agency employment/asset relationship
