Will credible evidence emerge linking Richard David Precht to Putin before 2030?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 67%
No 67%Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleNov 24, 24, 9:54 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will credible evidence emerge linking Tulsi Gabbard to Putin before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill credible evidence emerge linking Sahra Wagenknecht to Putin before 2030?
Manifold MarketsCredible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2030
Manifold MarketsCredible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if credible evidence emerges that Precht worked for Russia at any point in time after 24.02.2022 during the Russian invasion of Ukraine (possibly but not necessarily still ongoing in 2030).
- Precht is a well known German philosopher who most notably, during the first days of the invasion in early March 2022, he had concluded on multiple occasions that Ukraine could not win the war and despite having the right to self defense should have the wisdom to know when to surrender.
- However already in 2014 he was very critical of the Euromaidan revolution and to this day he continues disseminating Russian propaganda on various German talk shows.
- There are similarities to Hubert Seipel, who spread Russian propaganda as a popular commentator in 2014 and 2022, right after the invasion, until clear evidence of undisclosed offshore payments from companies linked to an oligarch close to Vladimir Putin emerged.
- I will not bet on this market.