Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 84.8%
Yes 84.8%Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jan 3, 24, 9:04 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This will resolve based on mainstream media reports.
- Any kind of dementia counts.
- Outside speculation does not count, unless the evidence is so strong that mainstream media consensus emerges.
- https://www.newsweek.com/stop-talking-about-bidens-mental-acuity-start-talking-about-trumps-signs-dementia-opinion-1853741
- I do not bet on my markets.
