Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.9%
Forecasters
85
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 3, 24, 3:56 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan.
- If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.