If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsChina3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 32.1%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 15, 24, 4:49 PMDec 31, 29, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes32%
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