If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionGeopoliticsChina3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 67.9%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 24, 4:49 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Resolves according to this question if Trump is elected in 2024, otherwise NA.
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10880/china-to-invade-taiwan-before-2030/