Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first??

Manifold Markets prices new member joins at 83.9% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first? resolve?

Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first? is scheduled to resolve on December 11, 2028.

How is Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves the named outcome first if a member of BRICS is no longer a member for any reason, before a the named outcome. resolves the named outcome if BRICS has a new member before a the named outcome.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+0.3pt100%
• October 28+3.0pt94%
• October 31+1.0pt85%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$26.8M

24h Vol

$1.6M

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+1.9pt56.8%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.4%
• Naftali Bennett13.7%

+16 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar+2.5pt72.3%
• Likud-2.5pt26.7%
• Together-0.4pt1%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+0.1pt100%
• October 27+2.1pt96%
• October 31+2.0pt90%

+28 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

• Before Jan 1, 202959.5%
• Before Jul 1, 202857%
• Before Jan 1, 202846.5%

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 3157%
• December 31-0.8pt35%
• November 30-1.0pt22%

+20 more outcomes

• Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
• Iran full airspace closure by which date?
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?