Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.1%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 25, 6:05 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 4:40 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
In 'The Reality War', the Fifteenth Doctor, played by Ncuti Gatwa, appears to regenerate into a new incarnation of Doctor Who's titular character played by Billie Piper.
- There has, however, been no official confirmation that Billie Piper has been cast as the Sixteenth Doctor.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, by the end of 2028, Billie Piper appears in a televised Doctor Who episode in which she is credited as The Doctor, and the BBC confirms that she plays the Sixteenth Doctor.
- This market will resolve NO if someone other than Billie Piper is confirmed as the Sixteenth Doctor by the BBC, or if the matter is unresolved at the end of 2028.
- Clarifications
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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- December 31-3.1pt48.3%
- October 31-3.0pt28.9%
- September 30-4.0pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
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- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 more outcomes
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- September 30-4.0pt75%
- September 18-7.0pt69%
- September 11-13.0pt57%
+2 more outcomes
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- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $109.5K
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who? resolve?
- Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In 'The Reality War', the Fifteenth Doctor, played by Ncuti Gatwa, appears to regenerate into a new incarnation of Doctor Who's titular character played by Billie Piper.