Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 92.1%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 13, 23, 7:27 PM UTCDec 31, 33, 7:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if such treaty is signed and (if needed) ratified before 2031 by both countries and no armed conflict happens before or for two years after that.