Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 51.6%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:23 PM UTCNov 1, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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