Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJD Vance 87.9%Leader of 44 outcomes
Forecasters
97
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleFeb 5, 25, 4:50 AM UTCNov 16, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy.
- (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
- All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed.
- Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
