Before November 4, 2028
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 1:49 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored price
No 87%
No 87%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 29, 25, 2:00 PM UTCNov 4, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for president in 2028?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
