KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 90%
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$0.3
Liquidity
$8.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 15.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 29, 25, 2:00 PM UTCNov 4, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWho will run for President of Brazil?
KalshiRules
If Bernie Sanders runs for President of The United States before Nov 4, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028??
- Kalshi prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? resolve?
- Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2028.
- How is Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Bernie Sanders runs for President of The United States before Nov 4, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.