Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAlexandria Ocasio Cortez 29.3%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 21, 25, 12:19 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.4%
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on Bernie Sanders' public endorsement for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary.
- Resolution occurs on April 30, 2028 at 11:59 PM ET, or earlier.
- The market resolves to whichever answer matches Sanders' first public endorsement of a candidate in the 2028 Democratic primary, as reported by major news outlets.
- If Sanders makes no endorsement before the deadline, the market resolves to "the named outcome." An endorsement includes official statements, campaign appearances, or direct participation in campaign materials.
- If Sanders endorses multiple candidates, the market resolves based on his first endorsement chronologically.
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary??
- Manifold Markets prices Alexandria Ocasio Cortez at 29% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary? resolve?
- Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria