Current community forecast
President 60%
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 9, 26, 5:28 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?
PredictItWill AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
PolymarketWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
KalshiRules
Update 2026-02-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AOC does not announce a run for either President or Senate by the enrollment deadline, this market will resolve N/A.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices President at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028? resolve?
- Will AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-02-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AOC does not announce a run for either President or Senate by the enrollment deadline, this market will resolve N/A.