Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
2.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
President · —
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Stored reference
President 62.1%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
President 62.1%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$70.3K
High liquidityOpen interest
$14.1K
Bid / Ask
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PresidentSpread
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Comments
2
7d Change
-7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 7:22 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · President
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC run for senate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.
- Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
- The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
- If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither".