KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Apr 1, 2028 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Apr 1, 2028 56.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Apr 1, 2028 56.5%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14
Open interest
$8.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2028Spread
—
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 1, 2028
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
NY-14 House election: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vote percent
KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever run for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President by 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 1, 2028
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
