Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Pete Buttigieg · —
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Stored reference
Pete Buttigieg 20.9%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Pete Buttigieg 20.9%Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$58.2
Liquidity
$53.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
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Pete ButtigiegSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-1.8 pts
Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingJul 10, 26, 1:36 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · Pete Buttigieg
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Democrats ever run a president/VP ticket with two white men ever again before EOY2036?
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KalshiWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRules
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, and the named outcome.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".