Who will win the Michigan Senate Race 2026?
3.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionSports2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsEsports25dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAbdul El-Sayed 67%-3.0pt
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 8, 26, 12:56 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan (Class II seat) held on November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by the official results certified by the Michigan Board of State Canvassers, which can be verified on the Michigan Secretary of State election results page.
- If there is a recount or a legal challenge, the market will not resolve until the final certified winner is officially declared and any immediate legal challenges are resolved.
- Since the candidate list is closed (addAnswersMode is disabled), if any candidate other than the named outcome or the named outcome wins the election, this market will resolve to N/A. The 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan will take place on November 3, 2026.
