Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California's 29th District?
PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection12d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLuz Maria Rivas 93.1%
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 5:40 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for California's 29th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- the named outcome — ballot designation: Democratic
- No write-ins: California does not count write-in votes in a top-two general election for Congress, so only the two candidates above can win.
