Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastBob Katter 91.6%Leader of 17 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 27, 26, 6:56 AM UTCMay 21, 28, 6:46 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- Each option in this market will resolve YES if the person in question nominates as a candidate at the next general election for the Australian House of Representatives.
- Each option in this market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- The close date is subject to change.
- The resolution of this market will be informed by the Australian Electoral Commission.
