Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 61.5%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
52
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleFeb 16, 24, 3:32 AM UTCJan 6, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
- This can be in 2024, 2028, or however long it takes for this to happen.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? resolve?
- Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? is scheduled to resolve on January 6, 2029.
- How is Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.