Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 1st 2029?
One-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50.4%
Forecasters
66
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 16, 23, 3:35 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
Manifold MarketsWill both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
Manifold MarketsWill BadlandsChugs be alive on January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Donald Trump will be 83 years old, as he was born on June 14, 1946.
- Joe Biden will be 86 years old, as he was born on November 20, 1942.