Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMarco Rubio 41%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMar 2, 26, 6:40 AM UTCMar 2, 29, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.
- Resolves no vice president announcement made if he never announces a vice president before 20 Jan 2029.
- Resolves based on first announcement of a vp pick.
- Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to the announced VP even if JD Vance announces a VP during the primary but does not win the nomination.
- Example: Ted Cruz announced Carly Fiorina as his VP in 2016 as a candidate before winning the primary.
