Will JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration?
PoliticsOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.5%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 9, 25, 11:57 AM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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+49 more outcomes
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- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
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+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration? resolve?
- Will JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration? is scheduled to resolve on January 19, 2029.