Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
56
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Jan 16, 26, 3:41 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
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KalshiJD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES iff JD Vance, the 50th vice president of the United States, assumes presidential powers at any point for any duration, even temporarily, in 2026.
- This includes:
- The Vice President becoming President in case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation
- The Vice President assuming powers as Acting President when the President transmits a written declaration of inability to discharge the powers and duties of his office
- The Vice President immediately assuming the powers and duties of the office as Acting President when the Vice President and a majority of principal officers of the executive departments transmit a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office