Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJ. D. Vance 32.3%Leader of 108 outcomes
Forecasters
384
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 27, 24, 1:20 PM UTCSep 9, 99, 2:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.
- An answer resolves YES upon their presidential inauguration or their being sworn in.
- Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become president.
- I may edit or N/A added answers for any reason, e.g. duplicates, ambiguity, insufficient fame for coverage of death, inapplicability, inappropriateness, etc.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life??
- Manifold Markets prices J. D. Vance at 32% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life? resolve?
- Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 9999.
- How is Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.