Current community forecast
Jim Chalmers 49.9%Leader of 43 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 27, 24, 3:52 PM UTCSep 9, 99, 2:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at some point in their life?
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PolymarketPrime Minister of Australia after the next election?
KalshiRules
This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.
- An answer resolves YES on the day they become Prime Minister.
- Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become PM.
- I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life??
- Manifold Markets prices Jim Chalmers at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life? resolve?
- Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 9999.
- How is Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.