Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMark Carney 100%Leader of 38 outcomes
Forecasters
78
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Mar 30, 24, 2:09 PM UTCSep 9, 99, 2:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at some point in their life?
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Manifold MarketsWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
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PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRules
This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.
- An answer resolves YES once they become Prime Minister.
- Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become PM.
- I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.
Open markets
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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+39 more outcomes
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life??
- Manifold Markets prices Mark Carney at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? resolve?
- Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 9999.
- How is Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.